Theres no way in hell that u(or glg) have any numbers that r true..u guys r going on a hope and a prayer! using "my logic" i can fish all year....with your logic who knows sept. aug...? but that dont matter to u, your not fishin that time anyway(oct-dec)...if your customers want a "lifetime halibut"...get them to buy some quota....im sure ill be shunned for this this...
Ummm.... I don't think you saw the part about how I did the math.
I used DFO model to run the "average Joe" idea to see if it would work.
The whole point of the exercise was defensible numbers based on math.
If we are going to talk to regulators we better have our numbers right.
Now is the dfo model 100% accurate?....no.....
It's a good indicate of, what if this rule is in place how much TAC will we use.
Do slot's work? You bet they do, after all we left 250K lbs to spawn this year.
Ummm.... well maybe not 250K more like 200K.
We need to add in wastage..... a by product of slots.
Ask Alaska how that's working for them this year.
I'm 100% behind you on the idea of a full season and I do hali fish in September.
I"m 100% behind you on not going over our TAC.
I'm not or have ever been a guide.
what about the first year the slot was imposed and we were like 500,000 over, and they closed it sept.6th.....nobody seem to remember that..
Ummmm..... huh......
Lets look at the numbers....
2012 (Closure Sept 9th) |
TAC - 1,084,650 lbs |
Taken - 1,157,879 lbs |
Over - (73,229) |
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Rule for 2012 were, no size on first fish and 82 cm on second fish.
2011 (Closure Sept 5th) |
TAC - 947,760 lbs |
Taken - 1,223,505 lbs |
Over - (275,745) |
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Rules for 2011 were, no size/slot limit on both fish.
So you see adding that slot knocked us back 200K lbs.
Clearly slots work... they just work too good.
2013 (Full Season) |
TAC - 1,080,000 lbs |
Taken - 830,000lbs |
Under - 250,000 |
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Rules for 2013 were, 126cm and 83cm.
Clearly we have some room for adjusting the 2014 rules.
DFO agrees and you saw it with the notice.
This is not the first time I have worked with numbers.
I'm confident the numbers I posted (combo slots) are right.
Or shall we say.... As good as the DFO model of calculating.
We need to find a way to remove one of the slots.
The pressure is on to get back to the way we use to fish.
Let's put the fun back into fishing.
We need to build a case that get's us there.
We also need to keep up the fight on allocation.
Something we need to keep in balance.
It's complex but we have many guy's that are working on it.
Question for you.... how do you like the slots on Salmon around Vic?