All Things COVID-19

Status
Not open for further replies.
Day 2 China reports no new localized community cases, only new cases were direct exports. Grain of salt fully engaged...

11:35 GMT - Wuhan records second day with no new cases
The Chinese city of Wuhan, where the virus at the heart of the global pandemic was first detected, has recorded a second consecutive day with no new confirmed or suspected cases.

Nationwide, a total of 39 confirmed cases and 31 suspected cases were recorded on Friday, the health ministry said, all of them brought from overseas.

Three more deaths were also registered, bringing China's total to 3,248, a figure surpassed on Thursday by Italy as the highest in a single nation.
 
Last edited:
I'd imagine that the current pandemic pandemonium is going to have a big effect on saltwater resorts up and down our coast this summer. International tourists are likely not going to be able to come. I'm sure that reservations are way down. Another hit for the industry that has been hammered by reduced fish stocks and regulation changes...

I'm curious if anybody here has heard anything. Are any resorts closing up shop? Business as usual?
 
Critter Cove in Nootka is open for business as usual based on an email I got this week. Problem I see is that half the boats in that place are WA. The border is closed now to non essential travel. I suspect lots of people may defer making a decision until there’s some clarity on what will happen in July/August. The uncertainty will stop lots of people from booking right now who were on the fence. It’s going to be a tough year for operators. They have 2 months a year to make it. All the more reason we need to go fishing and support our local fishing lodges/business’s. If you’ve never been to Critter, go, you won’t be disappointed. It’s a unique peaceful experience you just don’t get in other parts of the world.
 
Fishtank said:
It's because there doing mass testing, the deaths will come, we on the other hand are not doing mass testing, so it only appears that we have less cases
Click to expand...

last few days testing has gone way up. One of reasons why there have been major jumps in reported cases according to the head BC doctor that speaks everyday. Kind of like playing catch up and may not actually represent the actual spread rate
 
CIVANO said:
22,000 have died in the us from the flu so far this year to put things in perspective.
Click to expand...

Yes but hospitals are prepared to deal with that. They are not setup to deal with covid. Its not about the death its about hospitals not having enough room.

Have a heart attack and you may be turned away, that's what the freak out is about they don't want it to get to that point.

also if DR and Nurses don't wear proper PPE and get exposed then they are being excluded from work for up to two weeks.
 
News for today March 20, 2020
ETj-QzRU0AAcL5W
 
Fishtank said:
It's because there doing mass testing, the deaths will come, we on the other hand are not doing mass testing, so it only appears that we have less cases
Click to expand...
I agree it's because of the mass testing, but I also think that their mortality rate won't increase all that much. I suspect we're seeing two things with the German numbers:

1) a much higher percentage of cases identified, so instead of this looking like it kills 3%, because you only test people who are really sick, you get a more accurate picture of the number of cases and it's only killing a tenth as many. They can do 160,000 tests a week in Germany; their numbers are probably the most accurate for total cases anywhere, I would guess.

2) there is probably some artifact of their cause of death reporting policy happening here: I would bet that they have some reporting system in which if you have, say, two underlying comorbidities like diabetes and COPD, they may not be classing your death as C19, even if that's what pushed you over the edge. I don't know, that's just a guess. But I bet there is some factor like that and maybe the number is a little higher than it looks (although I bet not a crazy amount higher).



Anyway my guess is that they will ultimately see a lot more deaths but that if they test on a mass scale for a long time, we'll see their numbers stabilize with a mortality rate around 0.25-0.5%. I suspect that would be an accurate number for a lot of countries, actually, we're just not testing enough to pick up the vast majority of cases. I mean here, when do they test you? If you have to go to the hospital, or you're in a specific category of high-risk, and you have symptoms, and some specific reason to think you've been exposed to the virus. That's going to skew the numbers radically towards a high mortality rate.

I'm not saying there isn't a problem, just that the German numbers are probably a better picture of what this really looks like than most people would expect.
 
I found this to be well balanced analysis of the varying approaches to kicking the **** out of covid 19. This was forwarded to me by someone who is 100x smarter than I am and who is an active medical specialist practitioner in our BC health care system.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56

Too many people are treating these "days off" like snow days and it's pretty concerning to me. Pivotal times indeed. Take care, stay healthy and safe, everyone.
 
wildmanyeah said:
Yes but hospitals are prepared to deal with that. They are not setup to deal with covid. Its not about the death its about hospitals not having enough room.

I read that it was a shortage of ventilators, not beds that is causing some nasty decision making in terms of who gets onto ventilators.
Aren’t they sending most mild cases home to recover?
Click to expand...
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top