It's sad to see Nootka (among other areas) fishing so poorly this season. I hope the fish are late but I agree it's looking like that probably isn't the case!
Codfather, I understand the negativity but would have to respectfully disagree with your corrective action regarding DFO. Run 'forecasts' are simply that, a prediction. The people in charge of making this prediction are not the the highest up in DFO, they are the biologists and others with technical expertise mining data and crunching numbers. While managers have to be accountable for the work that their staff produces, firing all of them over this hardly seems like the correct solution. Biologists are trying to project numbers based on historical run data combined with conditions found in native streams the year of those spawns as well as ocean survival conditions. In addition to that, they try to account for an estimated number of pieces removed due to commercial and sport fishing pressure. They take that data and try to extrapolate the best they can. Who knows? Maybe their forecasting methods could be improved? ... sometimes mother nature is hard to figure out and surprises us. The historic 2010 fraser sockeye return surprised everyone. The conservative low end forecast for that run was 4 million fish and 30 million showed up. Wrong predictions go both ways some times.
Now that it is mid August it would appear Conuma chinook forecasts are in fact way off this year and it's up to DFO to keep close tabs on their data to make in-season adjustments like they've done...and if that warrants fishing closures then that is their responsibility and we should hold them accountable for those actions. DFO has to balance opportunity for both sport and commercial fishing with conservation and I hope when in-season data suggests the fish might be in trouble, conservation would be priority number 1. Its easy to just get pissed at DFO about a lot of what's going on and label them incompetent, but maybe we should take a step back and try to help provide some input. Rather than writing an angry email to DFO calling for everyone's head, lets voice our concerns - "Hey DFO, I wanted to let you know I've been fishing Nootka for 2o something years and this is the worst Ive ever seen it. I'm deeply concerned about the possible commercial opening upcoming and I think you should consider closing it down to protect these stocks or until escapement has been met." or something of that nature.... If we are all putting the fish first it seems like something we ought to at least try.
Full disclosure - No, I do not work for DFO but have a few friends that do and trust me they care deeply about trying to get things right and all of them are avid sport anglers. In my opinion most of the issues with DFO arise from lack of regard in Ottawa and appropriate budget to correct the staff shortage that manages and enforces the resource here in BC - although this is another topic entirely. My 2 cents, sorry if this is thread hijacking continue on with the fishing reports.