UkeeDreamin
Well-Known Member
Based on DFO's same model that thinks 50% of harvested fish are slot fish, but of course that's not why there forecast was off by so much last year. Nope, had to be a hypothetical 5% increase in fish size (IPHC data shows commercial 2b fish size increase was approx 2% last year, not 5%) and hypothetical increased effort (why measure this when collecting data, better to just use it to make excuses for your failed model). Using this same model, which grossly overestimates how many slot fish are harvested as a % of total harvest is going to result in the TAC being reached earlier than forecast again this year. I'll be very, very surprised if we don't hear the TAC is reached prior to Sep 1st again this year. If that doesn't happen, I'll be the first to admit I was wrong and maybe the new model is working. If I'm right, I can only imagine the excuses made for the model again next year.
In any case, good luck to everyone targetting halibut this year. Hope everyone gets good weather, calm seas and favourable tides (and some tasty white flesh!!).
Ukee
In any case, good luck to everyone targetting halibut this year. Hope everyone gets good weather, calm seas and favourable tides (and some tasty white flesh!!).
Ukee