searun
Well-Known Member
Here is latest off the press:
Run Reforecast:
The Somass run size has been maintained at 1,300,000. Overall, the abundance observed over the last few weeks suggests the run may be lower – i.e. average timing would predict a run size of less than 1.2M. However, pre-season expectations are for a very large return of 4-year olds. In past years when 4 year olds have contributed to the bulk of the run, the largest influx of fish has been from mid-July through early August. Therefore, by maintaining the run at 1.3M, we assume the run timing is late. However, if we continue to observe a decline in migration over the next two weeks, further downgrades in run size should be expected.
Run Reforecast:
The Somass run size has been maintained at 1,300,000. Overall, the abundance observed over the last few weeks suggests the run may be lower – i.e. average timing would predict a run size of less than 1.2M. However, pre-season expectations are for a very large return of 4-year olds. In past years when 4 year olds have contributed to the bulk of the run, the largest influx of fish has been from mid-July through early August. Therefore, by maintaining the run at 1.3M, we assume the run timing is late. However, if we continue to observe a decline in migration over the next two weeks, further downgrades in run size should be expected.