2019 Coho Return to Columbia River is looking Better

[4fishn]

The Columbia basin weekly report is estimating the coho run returning to the Columbia River at over a million fish This is up from 400,000 and well above the 10 yr average
They site improving ocean conditions as a part of the increase

 

[noknookie]

What agency put out your coho numbers? Seems very unlikely we will see over one million. Last years numbers were not even close. Computer models with garbage in garbage out. Oregon coastal coho are as rare as hens teeth for quite some time.

 

[4fishn]

It’s the Columbia Basin Bulletin

Obviously subject to forecast film flam. BUT
They see improving ocean conditions
Quote
“As you can see from going back and looking at past forecast vs actual returns, these forecasts are not always perfect by any means, but we do think the outlook for coho is improved,” said Stuart Ellis of the Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission and a member of TAC.


“The increase is due to what we think are some better ocean conditions especially off the Oregon coast and some better jack returns,” he said.


Some 545,000 of the Columbia River fish are considered the early run and 360,600 will arrive later. Ocean recreational and commercial fisheries will take a bite out of this number, but the size of the ocean catch is unknown at this time.

 

[Aces]

https://www.oregonlive.com/sports/2019/02/coho-salmon-prediction-more-than-twice-2018.html