FR Sockeye/Pink

Discussion in 'Saltwater Fishing Forum' started by Peahead, Jul 10, 2019.

  1. Peahead

    Peahead Well-Known Member

    Sockeye:
    For pre-season planning
    purposes, the Fraser Panel used the 50% probability level forecast (equal
    chance of a higher or lower return) of 4,795,000 fish for all management
    groups. This is similar to the cycle average of 4.789 million. The largest
    contributing stocks for the 2019 return are expected to be the Chilko,
    Stellako, Quesnel and Early Shuswap.

    Pink:
    For pre-season planning purposes, the Fraser
    Panel used the 50% probability level forecast (equal chance of a higher or
    lower return) of 5,018,600 pink salmon. This is well below the long term
    average of 12.7 million.
     
    nicnat likes this.
  2. Spring-time

    Spring-time New Member

    I read through this entire press release, it sounded like our opening/closures is about as scientific as a flip of a coin ! It could be this or that, it might be big or small, so we’re basing your businesses and vacation plans on a 50-50 shot it might be one way or the other! OMG , as I stand on shore watching nobody fishing and now understand the decision making process that goes into our dfo modeling of future fisheries I am genuinely disgusted at what can only be described as amateur hour. ! Pray for help people. I know it’s likely not an exact science but I was at least hoping it WAS SCIENCE.
     
  3. wildmanyeah

    wildmanyeah Crew Member

    Its because they don't have a clue on ocean survivability. The difference between 1% survival and 2% is huge. 500 million smolts leave the river 1% survival 5 million fish come back and 2% 10 million fish come back.

    While they have tones of models the error in the models for ocean survivability is a big unknown.
     
  4. scott craven

    scott craven Well-Known Member

    Next thing you know DFO will close retention on pinks
     
  5. BCRingo

    BCRingo Crew Member

    That actually happened two years ago in the tidal Fraser. Pinks are the new Sockeye now.
     
  6. halimark

    halimark Well-Known Member

    Only for the majority of BC fishers. Not all.

    HM
     
    Whitebuck, Skins88 and Slabbedout like this.
  7. spring time

    spring time Well-Known Member

    They don’t like pinks there is no money in pinks they just through them back dead
     
    Roast, Whitebuck and Skins88 like this.

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