Alaska 2018 chinook forecast

Discussion in 'Conservation, Fishery Politics and Management.' started by Derby, Jan 4, 2018.

  1. Derby

    Derby Well-Known Member

  2. Derby

    Derby Well-Known Member

  3. ericl

    ericl Active Member

    Nice job trolling for great info Derby. I especially like their measurement of success (2 years in a row of above target=level returns). I like their approach; here is what needs to be done, why it needs to be done, & how long it needs to be done for.
     
    wildmanyeah and Derby like this.
  4. wildmanyeah

    wildmanyeah Well-Known Member

    It's a shame the trollers get picked on the most and they use the best selective methods. Gill netters will still be slamming Chinook while chasing for sockeye/coho/chum.

    All numbers foretasted at below escapement goals. IF there based on ocean conditions then that certainly is a dreadful forecast for us down south as well.

    "Chilkat River king salmon are harvested directly in a small terminal marine sport fishery in Chilkat Inlet, but are otherwise harvested in mixed stock sport fisheries, commercial drift gillnet (Lynn Canal) and troll (primarily in northern SEAK) fisheries, and in sockeye salmon subsistence fisheries in Chilkat Inlet and the Chilkat River. Coded-wire tagging information suggests harvest rates on Chilkat River king salmon have historically been low, averaging about 21%, but increased from 2010 to 2013 (average = 27%). In the past 3 years with more restrictive management measures, harvest rates have decreased, ranging from 10 to 18% (Table 1). Over the most recent 10-year period (2007–2016), the net fishery accounted for 46% of the total harvest, followed by the troll fishery (28%), and sport fishery (26%). Annual harvest rates across all fisheries have averaged 23% for Chilkat River king salmon since 2008."


    "2017: • Regional king salmon regulations for SEAK were a bag and possession limit of 2 fish, 28 in or greater in length for residents and a nonresident bag and possession limit of one fish 28 in or greater in length, with an annual limit of 3 king salmon. Resident anglers allowed to use 2 rods from October 1 through March 31.
    • EO issued to: • close Northern Behm Canal and East Behm Canal to king salmon fishing April 1 – August 14;
    • reduce the bag and possession limit in West Behm Canal to one fish for all anglers with a nonresident annual limit of 3 fish 28 in or greater in length, from April 1 to August 14;
    • EO issued to restrict the bag and possession limit in the Ketchikan Sport THA from April 1 to June 30 to one fish for all anglers and a nonresident annual limit of 3 fish 28 in or greater in length;
    • open a small terminal area within Herring Bay June 1– July 31, with a bag and possession limit of 6 fish any size and no nonresident annual limit.
     
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2018
  5. ericl

    ericl Active Member

    For the trollers, it's not so much their methods but the mixed stocks they are fishing in the open ocean and the methods used to establish quota's & open periods. FYI back in the 80's I used to sport fish amongst trollers off Ucluelet & saw plenty of dead small salmon brought aboard.

    Also, it seems most people think that out of 10, 100, whatever number of possible reasons for Chinook declines that only 1-2 are responsible & that these same 1-2 reasons must be responsible for all declines.
     
    trophywife and GLG like this.
  6. Whitebuck

    Whitebuck Active Member

    Maybe those ppl are actually around the 1 or 2 reasons for the declines daily, and not miles away on a computer....
     
  7. agentaqua

    agentaqua Well-Known Member

  8. agentaqua

    agentaqua Well-Known Member

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